Survival-Readiness

Another week of NFL action is here, which means more surprises are surely in store. The first five weeks, after all, have already given us the Cowboys falling victim to a 49ers beatdown, the Jets routing Sean Payton's Broncos and C.J. Stroud easily pacing this year's rookie quarterbacks in Houston. How, then, can you be sure to wager on the right players and teams in Week 6?As we do every week, we've collected all of the best picks and gambling content from CBSSports.com and SportsLine and put them in one place, so you can get picks against the spread from our CBS Sports experts as well as additional feature content for each game, including plays from top SportsLine experts and the SportsLine Projection Model, best bets from our staff, survivor picks and more. Ready? Let's jump in. Time:Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ () Open:Falcons -2.5, O/U 42 SportsLine's NFL projection model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season on a 171-119 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. And it's got a strong play for this weekend, as the Falcons (-2.5) cover against the Commanders in almost 60% of simulations. Check out more analysis from the model . Pete Prisco Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson Nick Markakis Jersey John Breech Tyler Sullivan Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Commanders at Falcons (-2.5) Time:Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fubo () Open:Vikings -3.5, O/U 49.5The Vikings stayed close with the reigning champion Chiefs in Week 5, but now they're up against their first NFC North opponent of the season, and they'll be without star receiver Justin Jefferson. The Bears, of course, haven't been a world-beater, but they're coming off extra rest and a big win over the Commanders, with Justin Fields finally finding his footing through the air. Is it safe to bet Minnesota as a road favorite? Or does Windy City actually have something brewing? for up-to-date ATS projections, including for this divisional showdown between two 1-4 teams. Pete Prisco Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Tyler Sullivan Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Vikings (-2.5) at Bears Time:Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ () Open:Bengals -2.5, O/U 43.5"For the Bengals, Joe Burrow is finally starting to look like Joe Burrow, which is good news for him, but bad news for the Seahawks. After throwing for 317 yards and three touchdowns against the Cardinals, Burrow now gets to face a Seahawks defense that is surrendering 280 pa sing yards per game, which is the third-worst number in the NFL. Burrow might throw for 500 yards. ... The Seahawks will also be coming into this game off a bye, which is usually an advantage for most teams, but not them. The Seahawks are 0-3 coming off their bye since 2020, so I'm going to say the bye week curse continues for Seattle."Resident Bengals expert John Breech has plenty of reasons to back Cincy here. Catch all his Week 6 picks . Pete Prisco Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Tyler Sullivan Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Seahawks at Bengals (-3) Time:Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fubo () Open:49ers -3, O/U 41.5SportsLine's simulation model has ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Now it's projecting smart bets for a five-team parlay that could lead to a 25-1 payout. One part of the parlay we can reveal: The model says the 49ers (-7) cover on the road against the Browns in almost 60% of simulations, making it one of the model's strongest Week 6 NFL picks. Check out more on the parlay, plus analysis on other ATS picks, . Bobby Cox Jersey Pete Prisco Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Tyler Sullivan Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg 49ers (-7) at Browns Time:Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ () Open:Dolphins -10.5, O/U 46 "With some rare exceptions, home and road splits don't seem to matter as much these days, as road teams enter the week 41-37. The expanded international schedule continues to produce some similar results and there are some trends that we are going to continue to treat as our friend until proven otherwise." Could this factor into SportsLine NFL expert Jason La Canfora's forecast for this game, or are the Dolphins immune, considering their explosive advantage against an 0-5 Carolina squad? Be sure to check out JLC's full breakdown of this one, plus other Week 6 best bets, . Pete Prisco Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Tyler Sullivan Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Panthers at Dolphins (-13.5) Mike Foltynewicz Jersey Time:Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ () Open:Jaguars -4.5, O/U 45.5"We have a Gardner Minshew revenge game in play. And frankly, I just think this line should be three. Jacksonville is coming over from being in London -- they've been in London for two weeks -- and I could see this offense be a little lethargic. ... This is, for me, a good spot for the Colts to keep it within a field goal. Josh Downs is a good look here as well." That's CBS Sports senior writer Will Brinson highlighting both ATS and potential prop bets he likes in the AFC South tilt. Catch his full breakdown of the game, plus other Week 6 bets, on the "Pick Six NFL Podcast" . Pete Prisco Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Tyler Sullivan Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Colts at Jaguars (-4) Time:Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fubo () Open:Saints -1.5, O/U 40.5CBS Sports Fantasy and gambling editor R.J. White has twice cashed big in the world's most prestigious handicapping tournament, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest. His Vegas content picks are 376-290-24 (56.5 percent). And he shares those five weekly picks on SportsLine. We can tell you he's leaning in favor of Houston, which has enjoyed a hot start from rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud, in Week 6, but you'll wanna of his picks. Pete Prisco Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Tyler Sullivan Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Saints (-1.5) at Texans Time:Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ () Open:Raiders -1.5, O/U 42.5"Folks keep waiting for the Patriots to show any glimmer of life and it has yet to come. And if you think it's going to be this week in Las Vegas, I think you'll once again be left out in the cold. New England is averaging just 11 points per game this season and a large reason for that has been the inability to protect. While the quarterback has made some terrible decisions on his own, he's also been pre sured on 21.9% of his drop-backs (career high). Do we thinkand his 34 pre sures (second most in the) are going to help or hurt that percentage? For a Patriots team that is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games, this is likely another chapter in what has been a precipitous fall from grace."Not even resident Patriots expert Tyler Sullivan is willing to lean New England here. Catch all his Week 6 ATS picks . Pete Prisco Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Tyler Sullivan Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Patriots at Raiders (-3) Time:Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fubo () Open:Rams -4.5, O/U 46"This is a get-right spot for,andafter a tough lo s to the. The Cardinals are 1-8 in their last nine games against the NFC West, and just lostto injured reserve. By the way, have you noticed that Stafford is slingin' the rock? He has three games with 300+ pa sing yards, which ranks first in the NFL. The Cardinals have lost their last five road games and are getting outscored by about 12 points per game in those contests. The Cards started off strong this year by covering the spread in each of their first three games. However, they haven't covered the number in two weeks, and are coming off their worst lo s of the season at home."CBS Sports' Jordan Dajani is all over the Rams as home favorites in this divisional clash. Catch all his Week 6 picks . Pete Prisco Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Tyler Sullivan Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Cardinals at Rams (-7) Time:Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fubo () Open:Eagles -6.5, O/U 42.5"This line has unfortunately moved past a pretty obvious key number, but I'm not sure it matters all that much. The Eagles' second half against thewas incredibly impre sive from a defensive standpoint. If Philly plays like that against the Jets on Sunday,doesn't stand a chance. New York's defense is very good but it's also a unit being asked to stop a very Jared Shuster Jersey effective run game with multiple backs and a pa sing attack that features a trio of top-end weapons in,and Dallas Goedert. The short version is I think the Eagles overpower the Jets and win by more than a touchdown fairly easily. A second half with Wilson having to to s the ball around (New York won't be able to run here) won't result in a comeback."CBS Sports senior writer Will Brinson has the Birds as one of his best bets in Week 6. Check out all of his picks . Pete Prisco Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Tyler Sullivan Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Eagles (-7) at Jets Time:Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fubo () Open:Lions -3, O/U 45.5"This is an enormous game for both teams. The Lions are 4-1 after dominating the Panthers last week, while the 3-1 Bucs are coming off a bye.is playing well, but the Lions defense is stout. This will be close, but the Bucs will find a way to win it late as Mayfield takes them to a late-game field goal for the triumph."That's CBS Sports senior columnist Pete Prisco, riding with a Tampa Bay upset. Catch all of his Week 6 predictions . Pete Prisco Will Brinson Mark Melancon Jersey Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Tyler Sullivan Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Lions (-3) at Buccaneers Time:Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC), stream on fubo () Open:Bills -12.5, O/U 48CBS Sports Fantasy and gambling editor R.J. White, who's on a ma sive run with ATS picks, also has a true pulse on the Giants, going 42-22 (+1674) on his last 64 picks involving New York prior to Week 5. Who does he like here? You'll have to head over to SportsLine for his . Pete Prisco Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Tyler Sullivan Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Giants at Bills (-14) Time:Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN, ABC), stream on fubo () Open:Cowboys -2.5, O/U 47.5SportsLine expert Larry Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. He tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Those selections formed the basis of his SportsLine NFL best bets article, which finished 36-25-1. Now he's back with a projection for prime time. We can tell you he's leaning Over on the total here, but you'll have to to catch his full ATS pick, plus other Week 6 analysis. Pete Prisco Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Tyler Sullivan Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Cowboys (-2.5) at Chargers